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Home UK Politics

Starmer refuses to rule out extending freeze on tax thresholds

July 9, 2025
in Politics
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Sir Keir Starmer has refused to rule out extending the freeze on tax thresholds, which has seen millions of people dragged into paying higher rates.

The freeze on National Insurance (NI) and income tax thresholds, introduced under the Conservatives, is currently due to end in April 2028.

But asked during Prime Minister’s Questions whether the government still planned to lift the freeze, Sir Keir only said he was committed to Labour’s election manifesto.

This included a pledge not to increase National Insurance (NI), income tax or VAT – but no specific promise on thresholds.

Government U-turns on cutting disability benefits and winter fuel payments for pensioners have piled pressure on the government’s spending plans, with economists saying tax rises are now likely in the autumn Budget.

Following major concessions on the government’s flagship benefits plan, potential savings of around £5bn will now be delayed or lost entirely.

Tax thresholds – the income levels at which people start paying NI or income tax, or have to pay higher rates – typically increased every year in line with inflation.

However, income tax thresholds have been frozen since 2021/22.

This means people risk being dragged into a higher tax band, or paying tax on their income for the first time, if they get a pay rise.

Extending the freeze until 2029/30 could raise an estimated £7bn a year.

In her Budget speech last autumn, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said extending the freeze “would hurt working people” and pledged to lift thresholds in line with inflation again from 2028/29.

However, asked by Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch if this was still government policy, Sir Keir did not rule out continuing the freeze.

“No prime minister or chancellor is going to write a Budget in advance. We are absolutely fixed on our fiscal rules. We remain committed to them,” he told the Commons.

“We remain committed to our Budget, to our manifesto commitments.”

The PM’s answer contrasted to his previous response to Badenoch, when asked if he stood by Labour’s promise not to increase income tax, NI or VAT.

His reply to this was simply: “Yes.”

The government’s self-imposed fiscal rules include not borrowing to fund day-to-day spending and to get government debt falling as a share of national income by 2029/29.

The rules are designed to reassure financial markets but sticking to them limits the government’s options and makes tax rises more likely.



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Tags: extendingfreezerefusesruleStarmertaxthresholds

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