{"id":65785,"date":"2025-12-13T00:51:38","date_gmt":"2025-12-13T00:51:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/uk-economy-shrank-unexpectedly-by-0-1-in-october\/"},"modified":"2025-12-13T00:51:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T00:51:40","slug":"uk-economy-shrank-unexpectedly-by-0-1-in-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/uk-economy-shrank-unexpectedly-by-0-1-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"UK economy shrank unexpectedly by 0.1% in October"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<div data-component=\"byline-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 dPVOKT\">\n<div data-testid=\"byline-new\" class=\"sc-573fa0e8-0 bWRWzH\"><span data-testid=\"byline-new-contributors\" class=\"sc-573fa0e8-11 cOQNNv\"><\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"byline-new-contributors-contributor-0\" class=\"sc-573fa0e8-5 gXJgDY\">\n<p><span class=\"sc-573fa0e8-7 gqeTMs\">Rachel Clun<\/span><span data-testid=\"byline-new-contributors-contributor-0-role-location\" class=\"sc-573fa0e8-8 bIfajQ\">Business reporter<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure>\n<div data-component=\"image-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 eRlINq\">\n<div data-testid=\"hero-image\" class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\"><img sizes=\"(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/240\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 240w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/320\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 320w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 480w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/640\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 640w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/800\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 800w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1024\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 1024w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1536\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp 1536w\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/89c8\/live\/cd5b88a0-d757-11f0-845f-035d2c9c25f7.jpg.webp\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"PA Media A man wearing a black T-shirt operating machinery in a factory\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\"\/><span class=\"sc-5340b511-2 jVqbAn\">PA Media<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<div data-component=\"text-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 dPVOKT\">\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The UK&#8217;s economy shrank unexpectedly in the lead up to the Budget, according to the latest official figures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The economy contracted by 0.1% in October, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, whereas economists had been expecting it to grow by 0.1%. The economy also shrank by 0.1% in the three months to October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The cyber-attack at Jaguar Land Rover continued to affect car production, with only a slight recovery in October from the previous month&#8217;s fall, while analysts said uncertainty ahead of the Budget had slowed consumer and business spending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The weaker-than-expected figures strengthen the case for the Bank of England to cut interest rates at its meeting next week, analysts said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-component=\"text-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 dPVOKT\">\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The government has made economic growth one of its key priorities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">A Treasury spokesperson said the government was working to boost economic growth through reducing energy bills and major infrastructure investments. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;We are determined to defy the forecasts on growth and create good jobs, so everyone is better off, while also helping us invest in better public services,&#8221; the spokesperson said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride blamed the Budget for the unexpected contraction, saying it was &#8220;a direct result of Labour&#8217;s economic mismanagement&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;For months, Rachel Reeves has misled the British public. She said she wouldn&#8217;t raise taxes on working people &#8211; she broke that promise again. She insisted there was a black hole in the public finances &#8211; but there wasn&#8217;t.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said the surprise contraction in the economy was &#8220;a further reason to expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates next Thursday.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;It&#8217;s striking that the economy has only grown in one of the past seven months,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Over the three months to October, production output shrank by 0.5%, largely driven by a 17.7% fall in vehicle manufacturing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The cyber-attack on Jaguar Land Rover halted production at its plants across the UK for the whole of September, and there was a <a target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cwydxpdgx61o\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" rel=\"noopener\">staged return to factory activity from early October<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The resumption of vehicle manufacturing helped lift production output across the UK for that month, which grew by 1.1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">However, the ONS noted the rebound in vehicle manufacturing had been small, as it was still well below levels seen in August. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The services sector, which makes up about three-quarters of the economy and includes areas such as professional services and retailing,<b id=\"\" class=\"sc-d16436d-0 gnUCoQ\"> <\/b>did not grow at all in the three months to October.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<figure>\n<div data-component=\"image-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 GunZh\">\n<div data-testid=\"image\" class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.files.bbci.co.uk\/bbcdotcom\/web\/20251203-121739-f954f14c69-web-2.35.1-2\/grey-placeholder.png\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 gUePlo hide-when-no-script\" aria-label=\"image unavailable\"\/><img sizes=\"(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/240\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 240w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/320\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 320w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 480w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/640\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 640w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/800\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 800w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1024\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 1024w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1536\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp 1536w\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/bfb5\/live\/6aa73ad0-d72d-11f0-9fb5-5f3a3703a365.png.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A bar chart showing the estimated monthly GDP growth of the UK economy, from October 2023 to 2025. The figures are as follows: Oct 2023 (-0.4%), Nov 2023 (0.3%), Dec 2023 (-0.3%), Jan 2024 (0.5%), Feb 2024 (0.2%), Mar 2024 (0.5%), Apr 2024 (0.0%), May 2024 (0.4%), Jun 2024 (-0.2%), Jul 2024 (0.0%), Aug 2024 (0.3%), Sep 2024 (0.0%), Oct 2024 (-0.1%), Nov 2024 (0.1%), Dec 2024 (0.4%), Jan 2025 (-0.1%), Feb 2025 (0.4%), Mar 2025 (0.3%), Apr 2025 (-0.2%), May 2025 (0.0%), Jun 2025 (0.4%), Jul 2025 (-0.1%), and Aug 2025 (0.0%), Sep 2025 (-0.1%), Oct 2025 (-0.1%).\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<div data-component=\"text-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 dPVOKT\">\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/economy\/grossdomesticproductgdp\/bulletins\/gdpmonthlyestimateuk\/october2025\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" rel=\"noopener\">October&#8217;s contraction<\/a> comes after the economy shrank by 0.1% in September and was flat in August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">The monthly GDP figures are more volatile than the rolling three-month data, which is considered to give a better underlying picture of growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">But Jack Meaning, UK chief economist at Barclays bank and a former adviser at the Bank of England, told the BBC&#8217;s Today programme the latest figures showed the economy was &#8220;unambiguously weak&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;It&#8217;s continuing the story we&#8217;ve seen more or less all the way through this year of growth decelerating from relatively strong numbers at the start to much weaker numbers now, and actually outright contraction,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;Ultimately part of the story today is that we didn&#8217;t see as much of a bounce-back of that Jaguar Land Rover closure as we had expected. We thought that would all bounce back pretty quickly; it looks like it might take a little bit longer.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Mr Meaning added that data from Barclays indicated that the uncertainty ahead of the Budget weighed on the economy as people &#8220;held off purchases and big spending decisions&#8221;.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-component=\"text-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 dPVOKT\">\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Scott Gardner, investment strategist at JP Morgan Personal Investing, said Budget speculation ahead of the chancellor&#8217;s speech &#8220;had a numbing effect&#8221; on spending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;Budget speculation and uncertainty around potential tax changes dampened the mood among businesses and consumers, leading some to delay key decisions until the Budget had been delivered,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Card and gift retailer <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.londonstockexchange.com\/news-article\/CARD\/trading-statement\/17370557\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" rel=\"noopener\">Card Factory said on Friday it had been affected by pressures on consumers<\/a> which had hit &#8220;confidence and shopping behaviour&#8221;, adding it was cutting its profit forecast due to weaker than expected sales.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">Fergus Jimenez-England, associate economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, said the chancellor&#8217;s increase to her financial buffer in the Budget &#8220;should help reduce uncertainty over the coming year&#8221;, but it was unclear whether that would strengthen economic activity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">But KPMG UK&#8217;s chief economist Yael Selfin said investment from the private sector and government &#8220;could help foster growth over the coming year&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">&#8220;As a result, we expect investment to remain a key contributor to growth going into 2026,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<figure>\n<div data-component=\"image-block\" class=\"sc-3b6b161a-0 GunZh\">\n<div data-testid=\"image\" class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.files.bbci.co.uk\/bbcdotcom\/web\/20251203-121739-f954f14c69-web-2.35.1-2\/grey-placeholder.png\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 gUePlo hide-when-no-script\" aria-label=\"image unavailable\"\/><img sizes=\"(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/240\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 240w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/320\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 320w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 480w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/640\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 640w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/800\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 800w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1024\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 1024w,https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/1536\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp 1536w\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/6133\/live\/2bce6ee0-0b00-11f0-97d3-37df2b293ed1.png.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Thin, red banner promoting the Politics Essential newsletter with text saying, &#x201C;Top political analysis in your inbox every day&#x201D;. There is also an image of the Houses of Parliament.\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cwyp7v7r28yo?at_medium=RSS&#038;at_campaign=rss\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rachel ClunBusiness reporter PA Media The UK&#8217;s economy shrank unexpectedly in the lead up to the Budget, according to the latest official figures. The economy contracted by 0.1% in October, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, whereas economists had been expecting it to grow by 0.1%. The economy also shrank by 0.1% in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":65786,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[61],"tags":[540,1616,5982,3358],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65785"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65785"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65785\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65787,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65785\/revisions\/65787"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kede.com.br\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}