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While the Opta predictor puts England in first position, it is France – the team who knocked them out of the 2022 World Cup – who are hot on their heels at the top end of the charts.<\/p>\n
With a 19.1% chance for Didier Deschamps’ side to win Euro 2024, there\u2019s a legitimate feel of a ‘big two’ meeting in the final.<\/p>\n
In fact, the model estimates that both teams have almost a one-in-two chance of making the semi-finals, with England at 48.2% and France at 48.1% respectively, to be among the final four.<\/p>\n
Beyond them, hosts Germany are the team who round out the top three in terms of projected champions.<\/p>\n
Julian Nagelsmann’s side have a 12.4% chance of being victorious on home soil, and are the last of the three sides with a better than 10% likelihood of lifting the trophy.<\/p>\n
As for those who look the surest bets to make some noise in the knockout stages, England, France, Germany, Spain, and Portugal are the five teams given a 50% or better chance of reaching at least the quarter-finals.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n