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Home Business Economy

Interest rates expected to be held again by Bank of England

July 30, 2026
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The committee of five women and four men will announce their latest interest rate decision at 12:00 BST, with a hold the widespread expectation.

The Bank rate is the MPC’s primary tool for maintaining the rate of rising prices – inflation – at a target of 2%.

The latest official figures show inflation in the UK was 2.6% in the year to June, down slightly on the previous month but still above its 2.3% target.

The inflation rate is likely to go up in July, as millions of households in Scotland, England and Wales feel the impact of a 13% rise in domestic energy prices.

The increase was the result of the impact of the Iran war on wholesale energy prices.

Conflict in the Gulf, and uncertainty over the chances of a lasting truce, hang over the MPC’s meeting and decision this month and in the months ahead.

Many analysts expect interest rates to be unchanged in the foreseeable future, with the possibility of the next change being a rise.

“A new government finding its feet, and the situation in the Middle East becoming increasingly uncertain, mean that a hold on [the] base rate decision would be a welcome dose of stability,” said Katie Horne, from savings platform Flagstone.

“People have had more than enough uncertainty over the past year, and even a temporary pause eases the pressure a little.”

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If not, enter the total you are looking to borrow.\u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__container \”>\n \u003cinput id=\”form_input_1\”\n name=\”form_input_1\” \n type=\”number\”\n value=\”165000\”\n min=\”0\” \n max=\”10000000\”\n data-default=\”165000\”\n step=\”any\”\n required=\”required\”\n >\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__btn-container\”>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-increment\” data-direction=\”increment\” data-key=\”form_input_1\” aria-label=\”increase £\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-decrement\” data-direction=\”decrement\” data-key=\”form_input_1\” aria-label=\”decrease £\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cspan class=\”input__number-format\” aria-hidden=\”true\”>£\u003c/span>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”label__container\”>\n \u003clabel class=\”label__input \” for=\”form_input_2\”>How long will you take to pay it back?\u003c/label>\n \u003cbutton class=\”label__info-btn\” data-id=\”info-button-2\” aria-label=\”More info on repayment periods\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cdiv class=\”info-box info-button-2\”>\n \u003cdiv class=\”info-box__text info-button-2\”>If you have an existing mortgage enter the total number of years remaining. If not, enter the total number of years you are looking to borrow over.\u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__container \”>\n \u003cinput id=\”form_input_2\”\n name=\”form_input_2\” \n type=\”number\”\n value=\”20\”\n min=\”1\” \n max=\”50\”\n data-default=\”20\”\n step=\”any\”\n required=\”required\”\n >\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__btn-container\”>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-increment\” data-direction=\”increment\” data-key=\”form_input_2\” aria-label=\”increase years\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-decrement\” data-direction=\”decrement\” data-key=\”form_input_2\” aria-label=\”decrease years\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cspan class=\”input__number-format\” aria-hidden=\”true\”>years\u003c/span>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”radio__container\”>\n \u003cfieldset>\n \u003cdiv class=\”label__container\”>\n \u003clegend class=\”label__input\”>What is your current…\u003c/legend>\n \u003cbutton class=\”label__info-btn\” data-id=\”info-button-3\” aria-label=\”More info on interest rates\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cdiv class=\”info-box info-button-3\”>\n \u003cdiv class=\”info-box__text\”>For those with a mortgage enter the rate for your current fixed term. For those without a mortgage enter an interest rate from another source, such as a bank's mortgage rate calculator.\u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”radio__group\”>\n \u003cdiv class=\”input-container\”>\n \u003cinput class=\”radio-input\” type=\”radio\” id=\”interest\” name=\”format-selector\” value=\”interest\” checked=\”true\”>\n \u003clabel for=\”interest\”>interest rate\u003c/label>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”input-container\”>\n \u003cinput class=\”radio-input\” type=\”radio\” id=\”monthly\” name=\”format-selector\” value=\”monthly\”>\n \u003clabel for=\”monthly\”>monthly payment\u003c/label>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/fieldset>\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”label__container\”>\n \u003clabel class=\”label__input off-screen\” for=\”form_radio_input_1\”>interest rate\u003c/label>\n \u003c/div>\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__container input__container–radio\”>\n \u003cinput id=\”form_radio_input_1\”\n name=\”form_radio_input_1\” \n type=\”number\”\n value=\”3.4\”\n min=\”0.5\” \n max=\”10.5\”\n data-default=\”3.4\”\n step=\”any\”\n required=\”required\”\n >\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__btn-container\”>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-increment\” data-direction=\”increment\” data-key=\”form_radio_input_1\” aria-label=\”increase %\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-decrement\” data-direction=\”decrement\” data-key=\”form_radio_input_1\” aria-label=\”decrease %\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cspan class=\”input__number-format\” aria-hidden=\”true\”>%\u003c/span>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”label__container\”>\n \u003clabel class=\”label__input \” for=\”form_input_3\”>Choose an interest rate to compare with…\u003c/label>\n \u003c/div>\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__container \”>\n \u003cinput id=\”form_input_3\”\n name=\”form_input_3\” \n type=\”number\”\n value=\”5.5\”\n min=\”0.1\” \n max=\”100\”\n data-default=\”5.5\”\n step=\”any\”\n required=\”required\”\n >\n \n \u003cdiv class=\”input__btn-container\”>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-increment\” data-direction=\”increment\” data-key=\”form_input_3\” aria-label=\”increase %\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003cbutton class=\”input__btn-decrement\” data-direction=\”decrement\” data-key=\”form_input_3\” aria-label=\”decrease %\”>\u003c/button>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cspan class=\”input__number-format\” aria-hidden=\”true\”>%\u003c/span>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cinput class=\”submit-btn\” type=\”submit\” value=\”Calculate\” />\n \u003c/form>\n \u003cdiv class=\”results__container–figures\” aria-hidden=\”true\”>\n \u003cdiv class=\”width-restrict\”>\n \u003cp class=\”results__para\”>At this rate, your payments could change by…\u003c/p>\n \u003cdiv class=\”results__figures\”>\n \u003cp class=\”results__figure results__figure–monthly-increase\”>\u003cspan class=\”figure\”>\u003c/span>\n monthly change\u003c/p>\n \u003cp class=\”results__figure–to\”>to\u003c/p>\n \u003cp class=\”results__figure results__figure–monthly-total\”>\u003cspan class=\”figure\”>\u003c/span>\n monthly total\u003c/p>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cp class=\”results–off-screen off-screen\”>\u003c/p>\n \u003cdiv class=\”results__container–repayment-estimate\”>\n \u003cp class=\”results__estimate width-restrict\”>\u003c/p>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”results__container–error\”>\n \u003cp class=\”results__error\”>The information you provided on your monthly payments would not be sufficient to pay off your mortgage within the number of years given.\u003c/p>\n \u003c/div>\n \u003cdiv class=\”disclaimer\”>\n \u003cp class=\”disclaimer-para\”>This calculator does not constitute financial advice. It is based on a standard mortgage repayment formula dependent on the mortgage size and length and a fixed interest rate. It should be used as a guide only and does not represent the suitability, eligibility or availability of mortgage offers for users. For exact figures, users will need to approach an official mortgage lender.\u003c/p>\n \u003cp class=\”disclaimer-para\”>Interest rates fluctuate based on the Bank of England's base rate and market conditions\u003c/p>\n \u003c/div>\u003c/div>\n \u003c/div>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003cstyle id=\”responsive-embed-newsspec-34996-mortgage-calculator-app-inline-css\”>\n @-moz-keyframes gel-spin{0%{-moz-transform:rotate(0deg)}100%{-moz-transform:rotate(360deg)}}@-webkit-keyframes gel-spin{0%{-webkit-transform:rotate(0deg)}100%{-webkit-transform:rotate(360deg)}}@-ms-keyframes gel-spin{0%{-ms-transform:rotate(0deg)}100%{-ms-transform:rotate(360deg)}}@keyframes gel-spin{0%{transform:rotate(0deg)}100%{transform:rotate(360deg)}}.bbc-news-visual-journalism-loading-spinner{display:block;margin:8px 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A higher Bank rate, or the likelihood of an increase, can improve the interest rates that savers are offered.”,”blocks”:[{“type”:”fragment”,”model”:{“text”:”Other loans are influenced by the MPC’s decision, which also has an key impact on the returns available to savers. A higher Bank rate, or the likelihood of an increase, can improve the interest rates that savers are offered.”,”attributes”:[]}}]}},{“type”:”paragraph”,”model”:{“text”:”Some of the deals available to people willing to lock-in their savings for fixed period are at their highest for nearly two years.”,”blocks”:[{“type”:”fragment”,”model”:{“text”:”Some of the deals available to people willing to lock-in their savings for fixed period are at their highest for nearly two years.”,”attributes”:[]}}]}},{“type”:”paragraph”,”model”:{“text”:”The guaranteed interest paid on the top one-year bond is 4.91%, the highest for new customers since October 2024.”,”blocks”:[{“type”:”fragment”,”model”:{“text”:”The guaranteed interest paid on the top one-year bond is 4.91%, the highest for new customers since October 2024.”,”attributes”:[]}}]}},{“type”:”paragraph”,”model”:{“text”:”\”This rare dose of good news for savers is somewhat of a silver lining after years of poor real returns,\” says Rachel 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